Thursday, August 2, 2012


On vacation in Arizona
High of 108*

Tropical Storm Ernesto has formed in the Atlantic Ocean.  It is presently east of the BVI's at about 13*north.  It's current track should take it into the eastern Caribbean by the weekend and possibly into the Gulf of Mexico in a week or so.  It's winds are sustained around 50 MPH and I have the latest spagehetti plots posted here.  We are in Arizona on vacation but will return before the storm has a chance to arrive ahead of us.

Ernesto doesn't seem to be a huge storm but there is a new tropical wave of low pressure that is a few hundred miles behind him.  If development of this system occurs it will be named Florence.  This one seems to have the computer models more concerned.

I will post significant updates as they occur.

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